Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.027665 0.032195 0.037186 0.043083 0.049856 0.057382 0.066374
2025-10-19 0.020016 0.025673 0.032480 0.041250 0.052222 0.065465 0.082631
2025-10-26 0.015423 0.021539 0.029490 0.040525 0.055379 0.074606 0.101293
2025-11-02 0.011987 0.018071 0.026546 0.039113 0.057152 0.081969 0.118519
2025-11-09 0.009604 0.015518 0.024284 0.038072 0.059031 0.089453 0.136648
2025-11-16 0.008043 0.013839 0.022924 0.037995 0.062097 0.098787 0.158367
2025-11-23 0.006639 0.012118 0.021172 0.036952 0.063408 0.105482 0.176730
2025-11-30 0.005999 0.011544 0.021144 0.038622 0.069162 0.119626 0.208255
2025-12-07 0.005214 0.010561 0.020247 0.038640 0.072082 0.129395 0.233602
2025-12-14 0.004395 0.009362 0.018767 0.037372 0.072528 0.134937 0.252251
2025-12-21 0.003824 0.008541 0.017850 0.036980 0.074442 0.143142 0.276300
2025-12-28 0.003596 0.008377 0.018165 0.038973 0.081021 0.160364 0.318329
2026-01-04 0.003310 0.008053 0.018137 0.040324 0.086615 0.176524 0.360431
2026-01-11 0.002845 0.007247 0.016983 0.039196 0.087118 0.183040 0.384841
2026-01-18 0.002506 0.006668 0.016229 0.038807 0.089077 0.192589 0.416177
2026-01-25 0.002158 0.006003 0.015177 0.037600 0.089123 0.198246 0.440198
2026-02-01 0.001878 0.005454 0.014307 0.036672 0.089642 0.204893 0.466886
2026-02-08 0.001687 0.005100 0.013845 0.036635 0.092148 0.215987 0.504062
2026-02-15 0.001472 0.004638 0.013042 0.035647 0.092306 0.221941 0.530610
2026-02-22 0.001403 0.004579 0.013269 0.037270 0.098898 0.242929 0.592631
2026-03-01 0.001272 0.004311 0.012896 0.037293 0.101561 0.255184 0.635957
2026-03-08 0.001108 0.003910 0.012097 0.036069 0.100934 0.259673 0.661677
2026-03-15 0.000995 0.003644 0.011634 0.035692 0.102434 0.269375 0.700654